Tag Archives: Aaron Rodgers

Numbers Don’t Lie…or do they?

As week 4 of the 2013 NFL season begins tonight we find some interesting surprises hidden in the stat lines.  I find it a bit surprising that Drew Brees is currently ranked 15th among all NFL quarterbacks based upon  a passer rating of 91.4.  Equally surprising is that RGIII (84.1), Ben Roethlisberger (81.2),  Joe Flacco (80.0), Tom Brady (79.4), and Colin Kaepernick (72.5) are ranked 21st through 25th respectively.

Do the numbers always translate into wins or losses?  In some cases they do, however, in some cases they do not.  For example, Peyton Manning leads the league in QB passer rating at an unbelievable 134.7 and his team is undefeated at 3-0.  On the other hand, Phillip Rivers is currently ranked second in QB passer rating at 116.2 but the Chargers are 1-2.

Flacco and Brady are both ranked in the second tier of quarterbacks but the Patriots are 3-0 and the Ravens are 2-1.  Aaron Rodgers is ranked  #4 at 105.1 and Matt Ryan is ranked #6 at 100.4 but the Packers and Falcons are both 1-2.

We often hear the phrase “numbers don’t lie” but as we have seen that is not always the case.  Football is a team sport and much more than quarterback play determines the outcome of the game.  It’s true, quarterbacks have a greater impact on the outcome of NFL games than any other position player in football or any other sport for that matter.  But it is the ultimate team sport and winning teams hit on all cylinders consistently.

So what is the take away from such an analysis?  An average or slightly better than average QB can lead his team to victory if he will protect the ball and not do anything to lose the game.  You often hear the experts say that successful quarterbacks manage the game, they protect the ball, and they put their team in a position to win.  Even an average quarterback who follows that game plan can win more often than not.  That’s good news because the stats show that there is only one Peyton Manning playing in the league.

Mike Buckamneer

Goat Cheese

The Bengals and Packers combined for one of the most bizarre finishes in NFL history yesterday. The Bengals took an early lead by scoring 14 quick points with the help of a special teams turnover. The fumble and resulting quick touchdown did nothing, however, to demoralize the Packers. Aaron Rodgers, in his typical cool-headed manner, marched his team up and down the field on the Bengals defense. In the process, the Cheeseheads scored 30 unanswered points to take a 30-14 lead late into the fourth quarter.

That’s when things really got crazy! Nearing the 4 minute mark, the Packers appeared to gain a first down on a rushing play in Bengals territory. Bengals coach Marvin Lewis challenged the spot claiming that the runner was down before reaching first down yardage. After review, the call was reversed and the ball spotted behind the first down marker, leaving the Packers at 4th and inches.

The routine call would have been for the Packers to kick a field goal and add to their point lead. However, in a decision that Green Bay fans will second guess for a long time, the Packers went for it on 4th down. Aaron Rodgers handed the ball off to rookie running back, Jonathon Franklin who went off tackle right. A stout Bengals D-line stuffed Franklin and in the course of play, he fumbled the ball which was picked up by Bengal safety Reggie Nelson. After taking just a few steps toward the end zone, Nelson was tackled, and he too fumbled the ball. This time it took a few fortuitous bounces and landed in the lap of Bengals cornerback Terrance Newman who ran it back 58 yards for a Bengals touchdown. The score gave the Bengals a 34-30 lead with just 3:47 left in the game.

Bengal fans cringed as they watched Aaron Rodgers engineer a last minute drive that was ultimately thwarted by a incomplete pass on 4th down. The Bengals athletic defensive end, Michael Johnson, went airborne to swat down what may have been a game winning touchdown pass. Andy Dalton and the Bengals offense then sealed the win by taking a knee on two subsequent offensive snaps.

For a franchise that knows the sting of defeat all to well its nice that the Bengals had the ball bounce their way for a change. Literally.

Mike Buckamneer